Posted by: coastlinesproject | January 24, 2015

NE second January storm.

The current storm is located south of Long Island late this morning and continues to move quickly posing less of a threat to the Cape although lots of rain and a bit of a storm surge. Inland will be a mess with heavy, wet snow.

The Tuesday storm is becoming a bit more problematic. The Euro model is now giving a straight up Armageddon of a Nor’Easter – although this is the first we’ve seen of this solution so no panic yet. That said, the US models have certainly pushed the storm westward, posing a windier, snowier solution than they had yesterday. The trend, then, is toward a worse and snowier storm than we thought yesterday.

Even with the model forecasts in flux, we can say that Tuesday’s event will be worse, in terms of wind (both strength and duration) and storm surge, than today’s storm. Precipitation type (snow or rain) is up in the air.

Will update Sunday.

Bill Ryan

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