Posted by: coastlinesproject | January 22, 2015

Cape Cod Northeaster. Bill Ryan’s report.

This storm Saturday is a bit of an odd duck. As a result, the forecasts are very uncertain at this point.
What we know so far is: lots of rain, strong wind gusts Saturday afternoon and evening. Surge looks limited.

This storm is in the nature of your standard Nor’Easter but is missing a few of the usual ingredients.
The main difference is that there is no big, cold high pressure sitting over eastern Canada.
This means rain dominates except inland MA and lower sustained winds.

On the other hand, the storm will be strengthening rapidly as it passes Cape Cod. As a result,
the wind speed forecasts currently in place should be taken with a grain of salt. In all likelihood
the wind forecasts will be amended to highlight strong gusts.

The period of most interest is midday Saturday into Saturday evening. As the storm really won’t get rolling until it is close to Cape Cod, the seas will not be extreme. However, there may be really strong wind gusts for a period of time Saturday.

Lots of precipitation with this storm although it will be rain along the Outer Cape. There is likely to be a band of very heavy wet snow (power outages) just inland of the Cape and a lot of snow in eastern MA and the coast of ME.

High tide will be mid-afternoon along the Outer Cape right around the time winds will really pipe up but it will be ebbing during the worst of it – given the current timing of the storm.

“If
we begin with certainties, we will end in doubt, but if we begin
with doubts and bear them patiently, we may end in
certainty” Francis Bacon

Read more in; Islands in the Storm, Storm Surge; A Coastal Village Battles the Atlantic, Beach Wars; 10,000 Years on a Barrier Beach. Available in local bookstores, and Amazon, Also See Strawberry Hill, UPNE, and Schiffer book tabs at the top of this page. 10% will go toward the David Mountain Memorial Fund to provide environmental books to Cape Cod and North Shore students.

 

 

Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s

Categories

%d bloggers like this: